EGYPT: Questions and Answers

A blogger friend of mine has sent me the following message:  Do you think that Mubarak is playing the people to rage so that there is an excuse to clamp down even tougher martial law? I was beyond speech when I heard this .... as a radical type I know exactly how the people felt, I could sense it all.... I have had Al Jazeera live on all day in the background...

Meanwhile, Israel, knowing no one is looking, bombs Gaza and takes out a building full of medical supplies to weaken their support system even more.

Is Mubarak just plain stubborn? We know he is out of touch with the realities... could he be senile? It sure seems so...

My answer  to my friend reads as follows: I was about to write an article in which I'll explain why the resemblance of Mubarak is that of a water-buffalo. 

I was born in a village in Egypt, and I know how water-buffaloes behave. It is a very stubborn beast. You can be crossing a railway track pushing your beast to move

 faster, but if  the beast does not like it, it want budge  even the train is about to run over the beast.  It is so stubborn and so stupid. 

But as far as Mubarak is concerned, his stubbornness is stemming from being a military person where life is either winning or loosing; arrogance and carelessness. I totally believe that fever of power that culminated over thirty years of  control has made him seriously sick. He is so thoughtlessly clinging and driven by a monomaniacal desire exactly as captain Ahab of Moby Dick was. He has to kill the whate that maimed him in on a previous whaling voyage.

I have posted two articles: EGYPT: Timing of Mubarak speech was no accident, says expert ( http://thenakedtruthinaconfusedworld.blogspot.com/2011/02/egypt-timing-of-mubarak-speech-was-no.html), and EGYPT: The NakedTruth's analysis - Is Mubarak captain Ahab of Moby Dick? (http://thenakedtruthinaconfusedworld.blogspot.com/2011/02/egypt-nakedtruths-analysis-is-mubarak.html), where you may find an answer. In addition, I think he is pushing the demonstrators, who are already tired and frustrated, to become angrier and lose control and self-discipline.  And when that happen, he will have his pretext to call upon the army to protect the country, of course under false pretenses. 

My sister and brother told me over the phone that some junior army officers have already put down their arms and joined the protester. To me this indicates that there is a division in the army. Junior ranks will never point a gun at protesters, but the rotten generals are the ones whom Mubarak spoiled rotten over 3 decades. I have served in the Egyptian army and I know damn well how things go.

So on Friday, I predict it is going to be a coup d'etant by the young officers who are going to disobey orders, or blood bath as it has never been seen in the Egyptian history over the last thousands of years. I hope, I think, I would like to believe that the army will do the right thing. Furthermore, if the army takes over, I would like to believe that it will be only temporarily, otherwise we will be back in square one; being controlled again by military personnel and being a military state again.