Shifting Truths in Sinai: Who Stands to Gain from the Carnage
Two Toyota Land Cruisers filled
with about 15 well-built gunmen in ski masks and all-black outfits appear
seemingly out of nowhere. Behind them is vast, open desert. They approach a
group of soldiers huddled around a simple meal as they prepare to break their
Ramadan fast. The gunmen open fire, leaving the soldiers with no chance of
retrieving their weapons.
This is not an opening scene of a Hollywood action movie. The massacre actually took place
at an Egyptian military post in northern Sinai on August 5. The description
above was conveyed by a witness, Eissa Mohamed Salama, in a statement made to
The Associated Press (AP; August 8). The gunmen were well trained. Their overt
confidence can only be explained by the fact that “one militant got out a
camera and filmed the bodies of the soldiers”.
One is immediately baffled by this.
Why would the masked militants wish to document the killings if they were about
to embark on what can be considered a suicide mission in Israel? “The
gunmen then approached the Israeli border,” with two vehicles, one reportedly a
stolen Egyptian armored personnel carrier. The British Broadcasting Corp.,
citing Israeli officials, reported that one of the vehicles “exploded on the
frontier”, while the other broke through the Israeli border, “travelled about 2
kilometers into Israel before being disabled by the Israeli air force” (BBC
News Online, August 7). According to the BBC report, citing Israeli sources,
there were about 35 gunmen in total, all clad in traditional Bedouin attire.
Their mission into Israel
was suicidal, since, unlike in Sinai, they had nowhere to escape. But who would
embark on such a logistically complex mission, document it on camera, and then
fail to take responsibility for it? The brazen attack seemed to have little
military wisdom, but it did possess a sinister political logic.
Only 48 hours before the attack,
the media were awash with reports about the return of electricity in the Gaza
Strip. The impoverished Strip’s generators have not run at full capacity for
about six years, since Hamas was elected. The Israeli siege and subsequent wars
killed and wounded thousands, but they failed to bend Gaza’s political will. For Gazans, the
keyword to their survival in the face of Israel’s
blockade was “Egypt”.
The Egyptian revolution on January
25, 2011, carried a multitude of meanings for all sectors of Egyptian society,
and the Middle East at large. For Palestinians
in Gaza, it
heralded the possibility of a lifeline. The nearly 1,000 tunnels dug to assist
in Gaza’s
survival would amount to nothing compared with a decisive Egyptian decision to
end the siege by opening the Rafah border.
In fact, a decision was taking
place in stages. Hamas, which governs Gaza, was
a branch of Egypt’s
Muslim Brotherhood. The latter is now the leading political force in the
country and, despite the military’s obduracy, it has managed to claim the
country’s presidency as well.
In late July, a high-level Hamas
delegation met in Cairo.
All the stress and trepidation of the last 16 months seemed to have come to an
end, as Hamas chief Khaled Mashaal, his deputy Musa Abu Marzouq and other
members of the group’s politburo met with President Mohammed Morsi. Egypt’s
official news agency reported Morsi’s declarations of full support “for the
Palestinian nation’s struggle to achieve its legitimate rights”. According to
Reuters, Morsi’s top priority was achieving unity “between Hamas and Fatah,
supplying Gaza with fuel and electricity and
easing the restrictions on the border crossing between Gaza
and Egypt”.
Juxtapose that scene – where a
historical milestone has finally been reached – with an Agence
France-Presse photo of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his
defense minister, Ehud Barak, standing triumphantly next to a burned Egyptian
vehicle that was reportedly stolen by the Sinai gunmen. The message here is
that only Israel
is serious about fighting terror. Israeli newspaper Haaretz’ accompanying
article started with this revelation: “Israel
shared some of the intelligence it received with the Egyptian army prior to the
incident, but there is no evidence Egypt acted on the information.”
This was meant to humiliate Egypt’s
military further.
Naturally, Israel blamed Gaza, even though there is no material
evidence to back such accusations. Some in Egypt’s
media jumped on the opportunity to blame Gaza
for Egypt’s
security problems in Sinai as well. The loudest among them were completely
silent when, on August 18, 2011, Israel killed six Egyptian soldiers
in Sinai.
Then, Israel
carried out a series of strikes against Gaza,
killing and wounding many, while claiming that Gaza was a source of attacks against Israeli
civilians. Later the Israeli media dismissed the connection as flawed. No
apologies for the Gaza
deaths, of course, and AP, Reuters and others are still blaming Palestinians
for the attack near Eilat last year. Then, Palestinian factions opted not to
escalate to spare Egypt an
unwanted conflict with Israel
during a most sensitive transition.
None of that seems relevant now. Egypt is busy destroying the tunnels, continuing
efforts that were funded by the US
a few years ago. It also closed the Gaza-Egypt crossing, and is being
“permitted” by Israel
to use attack helicopters in Sinai to hunt for elusive terrorists. Within days,
Gaza’s
misfortunes were multiplied and once more Palestinians are pleading their case.
Israeli officials and analysts are,
of course, beside themselves with anticipation. The opportunity is simply too
great not to be utilized fully. Commenting in Egypt-based OnIslam, Abdelrahman
Rashdan wrote that according to the Israeli intelligence scenario, “Iranians,
Palestinians, Egyptians, and al-Qaeda operatives all moved from Lebanon to attack Egypt
[and] Israel and defend Syria.”
In Western mainstream media, few
asked who benefits from all of this – from once more isolating Gaza, shutting
down the tunnels, severing Egyptian-Palestinian ties, embroiling the Egyptian
military in a security nightmare in Sinai, and much more.
The Muslim Brotherhood website had
an answer. It suggested that the incident “can be attributed to the Mossad”.
True, some Western media reported the statement, but not with any degree of
seriousness or due analysis. The BBC even offered its own context: “Conspiracy
theories are popular across the Arab world,” ending the discussion with an
Israeli dismissal of the accusation as “nonsense”. Case closed. But it
shouldn’t be.
Before embarking on a wild goose
chase in Sinai, urgent questions must be asked and answered. Haphazard action
will only make things worse for Egypt,
Palestine and
Sinai’s long-neglected Bedouin population.
Guilty
as charged


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