Report:
No proof Syria
behind downing of Turkish jet
Amid
tensions with Syria,
relations between Turkey and
Iran
have significantly deteriorated, after the two countries exchanged threatening
declarations last week.
By Zvi Bar'el | Aug.11, 2012 | 7:37 PM
While
U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton is visiting Turkey
to plan to begin planning the stage after the fall of Assad, and after a dose
of additional sanctions that the U.S.
government placed on Syria
and Hezbollah, new details emerged regarding the downing of a Turkish jet which
took place in June.
According
to the Turkish newspaper Radikal reported that according to a report released
by the criminal unit of Turkey’s
military police, which checked dozens of parts that were pulled out of the sea,
there is no proof that the jet was shot down by an anti-aircraft or other types
of missiles. The findings contradict both the official Turkish position as well
as the Syria
taking responsibility for shooting down a plane which it claimed entered its
territorial airspace. The new estimations say that the plane was likely downed
by an electromagnetic attack whose origins may be in a Russian base in Tartus, Syria,
or due to a mechanical failure.
The
downing of the place, which according to Turkey
was not armed and was on a tour near Syria, yielded contradictory
responses. President Abdallah Gül was quick to suggest that the plane crossed
over into Syrian territory, while Turkey’s military announced that
the plane was in international airspace. The military’s position became the
official one, although Turkish newspaper Taraf claimed on Friday that the
information passed along by the military was faulty. The military was quick to
publish a message on its website, in which it claimed that there was no
misinformation passed on.
The
Turkish investigators, which use data gathered radars in neighboring countries
such as Russian and (apparently) Israeli radars, are divided in their positions
regarding the reason behind the incident. Thus, it seems like the Turkish
position may undergo an “update.” Due to the new findings, it is unclear why Syria was so
quick to take responsibility for bringing down the plane. One of the
possibilities is that the Syrian Army may have tried to shoot down the plane.
This
embarrassing division will certainly not change Turkey’s
consistent policy toward Syria.
The country is now putting together a regional plan, alongside the United States,
for the aftermath of the downfall of Assad’s regime. The international effort
to find a diplomatic solution has not yet dissipated with the resignation of
Kofi Annan from his position as UN special envoy to the country. Now, the UN is
considering giving the position to Lakhdar Brahimi, who was able to bring about
the end of the Lebanese Civil War in 1989, and stood at the helm of a steering
committee that established Afghanistan’s
temporary government. And despite the Syrian position which has been able to
thwart all international intervention, it is doubtful that Brahimi will be able
to succeed where his former boss failed.
Meanwhile,
the war in Syria has caused
relations between Turkey and
Iran
to significantly deteriorate, after the two countries exchanged threatening
declarations last week. Turkey
blames Iran for allowing PKK
militants to operate in its territory against Turkish targets, specifically out
of Shahidan camp on the border of Iran
and Turkey.
The camp was closed after Turkey
and Iran
agreed to fight Kurdish terrorism. Now, Turkey
claims that Iran
is trying to open up another front against it. In response, Turkish Deputy
Prime Minister Bülent Arınç, said “Turkey will do everything necessary
against the Iranian threat.” Such words have not been heard from Ankara since the rise of
the Justice and Development Party.
Two
days earlier, Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi arrived in Ankara in order to ask Turkey
to act to release the Iranian hostages in Syria. According to the Free Syria
Army, the captives were advisers from Iran’s
Revolutionary Guard, while Iran
claims that they were tourists. On the same day, Turkey
was astonished to hear that Chief of Staff of the Iranian Armed Forces Hassan
Firuzabadi was threatening Turkey,
warning the country that if it continues with its current policy toward Syria, the
violence will make its way into its territory. Salehi was quick to clarify that
only he or President Ahmadinejad were authorized to speak in the name of Iran,
although this did not do much to assuage Turkey, especially after Iran
announced this it was delaying the entry arrangements of Turkish citizens into
the country, and that during the month of August, they will not be granted
entry into Iran without a visa, for the first time since 1964. Iran was also
quick to attack Erdogan for his declarations against the Alawite minority in
Turkey (it is important not to confuse the Alawites in Turkey and those in
Syria – both have their origins in Shia Islam, but are still considered
separate sects). Erdogan, who is Sunni, said in an interview with Turkish
television that the Alawite houses of worship in Turkey are “cultural centers”
rather than mosques. He blamed the Turkish Alawites for supporting his
political rival and opposition leader Kemal Kılıçdaroğlu because he is Alawite,
and hinted that the Alawite sect is not exactly a part of Islam.
Erdogan’s
words angered the Alawite leaders in Turkey
and they are being used by Iran
in order to give the political rivalry a religious tinge. Iran also decided to not allow Iranian
researchers to take part on a conference by the International Society for Iranian
Studies (ISIS) which took place last week in Istanbul.
The
recent events are seen by Turkey
as an unprecedented low in relations between the two countries, which stems not
only from the crisis in Syria,
but also from the competition for influence on Iraq
and from Iran’s attempts to
destabilize Turkey’s
relationship with the Kurds. This situation may bring about new regional
coalitions, especially the building of a Saudi-Turkey axis, with Egyptian
cooperation. Despite this, one cannot ignore the widespread trade ties between Turkey and Iran, which greatly benefit both
countries.


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